Debt, More Debt, and Yes, Even More Debt

Mariano Torras Finance, Future, General, Health/Disease, History, International/Development, Macroeconomics, Public policy/Wellbeing Leave a Comment

November 22, 2020

In August of this year, Nobel laureate Joseph Stiglitz and Hamid Rashid warned that a global debt crisis was looming. And just last week, Zambia became the sixth country this year – after Argentina, Belize, Ecuador, Lebanon, and Suriname – to default on its sovereign debt when President Edgar Lungu’s government failed to make a $42.5 million interest payment that was due. Under normal circumstances one sovereign default is newsworthy; the latest announcement merely underscores what a strange year it has …

The Regional Comprehensive Economic Partnership: Why It Should Matter to Us

Mariano Torras Finance, General, History, International/Development, Macroeconomics, Methodology/Statistics, Politics, Public policy/Wellbeing 1 Comment

November 18, 2020

Just two days ago, 15 Asia-Pacific nations agreed to what is arguably the most important trade deal in history. Known as the Regional Comprehensive Economic Partnership (RCEP), it will unite the 10 countries from the Association of Southeast Asian Nations (ASEAN) – Brunei, Cambodia, Indonesia, Laos, Malaysia, Myanmar, the Philippines, Singapore, Thailand, and Viet Nam – with Australia, China, Japan, New Zealand, and South Korea to create the largest trade bloc in the world. With its members accounting for about one-third …

Free Market Capitalism is a Pernicious Oxymoron

Mariano Torras Economic Theory, General, Health/Disease, Macroeconomics, Politics, Public policy/Wellbeing Leave a Comment

November 15, 2020

Reading Neil Irwin’s article this morning in the New York Times really raised my hackles. It is one of those faux-centrist pieces that tries both to applaud and to censure capitalism for its response to the global pandemic. One statement in particular gets my goat. Here he is discussing the “advance purchase agreement” between Pfizer and the Federal government over Covid-19 vaccine research: But it [the above agreement] speaks to a deeper reality the pandemic has revealed — both what is amazing about …

The Lender of Last Resort

Mariano Torras Economic Theory, Finance, General, Macroeconomics, Politics, Public policy/Wellbeing 3 Comments

November 11, 2020

There is a high stakes political fight looming over whether to extend the emergency loan programs put in place this past Spring by the Federal Reserve and the Treasury Department, in response to the economic fallout from the coronavirus pandemic. While it appears that the Fed might be amenable to continuing the lending programs beyond their December 31st deadline, Treasury Secretary Steven Mnuchin is feeling pressure from Republicans to allow the programs to expire. The interesting twist here is that …

Election 2020: More Questions than Answers

Mariano Torras General, Politics, Public policy/Wellbeing Leave a Comment

November 8, 2020

That Joe Biden was elected the 46th president of the United States should hardly come as a surprise. To say that the incumbent has done nothing over the past four years to merit reelection would be grossly misleading in its understatement. So, why is there such a pervasive feeling of cognitive dissonance among Biden voters? It is almost as if the election outcome itself were an afterthought, even if an immense relief. Quite simply, the fact that Trump garnered over …

Why Economic Stimulus?

Mariano Torras Finance, General, Macroeconomics, Politics, Public policy/Wellbeing Leave a Comment

November 4, 2020

We tend to cringe whenever the U.S. Treasury Department announces that it must borrow more than it had expected, since it only means that the U.S. government is adding to its already massive debt problems. Yet its announcement that it expected to borrow “only” $617 billion during the 4thquarter of 2020, considerably less than the $1.22 trillion they estimated earlier, is anything but good news. Nor is the government’s recent announcement that it would require about $1.1 trillion less than had been expected …

The 3rd Quarter GDP Report

Mariano Torras General, Macroeconomics, Methodology/Statistics, Politics, Public policy/Wellbeing 2 Comments

November 1, 2020

On Thursday, the Commerce Department announced that U.S. GDP had grown 7.4 percent in the 3rd quarter of 2020, which amounts to 33.1 percent at an annualized rate. The White House did not hesitate to trumpet the news, calling it the Great American Recovery. To call such an account hyperbole would be an understatement. Not only is it very far from “great,” calling it “a recovery” is also highly questionable (we must, however, concede that it is American). It is …

Lesser-Evilism and the Vote of the Century

Mariano Torras Future, General, Politics, Public policy/Wellbeing Leave a Comment

October 18, 2020

Ok, perhaps calling it the vote of the century is overstating things, but there is no question that November 3rd looms as a historic moment, whatever the outcome. Let me begin by stating the obvious: President Donald Trump is a repugnant, despicable, pathetic, vainglorious, and shameless human being. That someone like this could be elected president is a travesty and an unspeakable embarrassment. That such an eminently impeachable clown could survive his first term in office speaks for the insufferable …

David Graeber: A True Public Intellectual

Mariano Torras Economic Theory, Finance, General, History, Macroeconomics, Public policy/Wellbeing, Reflections Leave a Comment

September 25, 2020

Progressives the world over are mourning the tragic and untimely death of anthropologist David Graeber. He was one of the few academics who truly “walked the talk,” blending his activism and anarchism with original and pathbreaking research. Graeber is possibly best known for his involvement with Occupy Wall Street (he is frequently credited with coining the term “the 99%”) and his controversial dismissal from Yale University. I did not know him personally but am familiar with some of his professional work, …

In Defense of Idleness

Mariano Torras Economic Theory, Future, General, Health/Disease, History, Macroeconomics, Public policy/Wellbeing, Reflections 1 Comment

September 11, 2020

Modern society’s belief in the virtue of industry, productivity, or plain hard work is well ingrained in our psyche, and far predates capitalism. According to an old Arabian proverb, “the devil tempts all men, but idle men tempt the devil.” Ouch! If in any way representative of our opinion of human inactivity, it should hardly surprise that no sooner than Covid-19 forced idleness upon us all, we heard a chorus of voices keen to return to the status quo. But from …